Will Mookie Betts lead Pro Baseball in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?

4¢
Bid/Ask 0/4¢·Spread 4¢·Vol $0·OI $1,559·Closes Oct 22, 2026·188d remaining
KXLEADERMLBRBI-26-MBET

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite an unusually wide spread and $1,559 open interest, suggesting minimal recent trading activity. The 4-cent price implies only a 4% probability that Betts leads MLB in RBIs—a notably low assessment for a perennial All-Star caliber hitter, though the astronomical 4,638% implied yield on the Yes side reflects the thin pricing and high cliff risk (24), indicating potential for sharp repricing if any significant volume enters. With 189 days to expiration, this appears to be a speculative position with limited market depth rather than an efficiently priced contract.

Resolution rules

If Mookie Betts leads Pro Baseball in RBIs for the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 4660.2%
IY (No) 8.1%
Adj IY 2330%
CRI 24
Overround 0.6%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)4660.2%
IY (No)8.1%
Adj IY2330%
CRI24
Overround0.6%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
4¢
Computed
4/17/2026, 2:45:55 PM
Indicators computed 4/17/2026, 2:38:52 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXLEADERMLBRBI-26-MBET yes 100

Related concepts