Will Roman Anthony lead Pro Baseball in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?

4¢

Bid/Ask 0/4¢·Spread 4¢·Vol $0·OI $100·Closes Oct 22, 2026·188d remaining

KXLEADERMLBRBI-26-RANT

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $100 open interest, making the 4645.8% implied yield on the Yes side largely theoretical and unreliable for actual trading. The 4¢ price reflects a highly speculative long-shot bet on a young player leading MLB in RBIs—a feat requiring both elite performance and substantial playing time over a full season. With 189 days to expiration and a Cliff Risk Index of 24, the market has adequate time for Roman Anthony's 2026 season trajectory to materialize, but the minimal liquidity and extreme yield skew suggest this contract should be approached with caution as a pricing signal.

Resolution rules

If Roman Anthony leads Pro Baseball in RBIs for the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 4660.2%

IY (No) 8.1%

Adj IY 2330%

CRI 24

Overround 0.6%

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	4660.2%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	8.1%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	2330%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	24	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	0.6%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

4¢

Computed

4/17/2026, 2:43:33 PM

Indicators computed 4/17/2026, 2:38:52 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXLEADERMLBRBI-26-RANT yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →