Will Ronald Acuña Jr. lead Pro Baseball in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?

4¢
Bid/Ask 0/4¢·Spread 4¢·Vol $0·OI $17·Closes Oct 22, 2026·188d remaining
KXLEADERMLBRBI-26-RACU

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $17 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 4¢ price potentially unreliable. The 4660% implied yield on the Yes side is a classic sign of mispricing in thin markets—such astronomical returns suggest either severe undervaluation or that the tiny position size makes the calculation misleading. The price has quadrupled from 1¢ to 4¢ over seven days despite no trading activity, indicating the quoted price may not reflect actual executable liquidity.

Resolution rules

If Ronald Acuña Jr. leads Pro Baseball in RBIs for the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 4660.2%
IY (No) 8.1%
Adj IY 2330%
CRI 24
Overround 0.6%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)4660.2%
IY (No)8.1%
Adj IY2330%
CRI24
Overround0.6%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
4¢
Computed
4/17/2026, 2:42:58 PM
Indicators computed 4/17/2026, 2:38:52 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXLEADERMLBRBI-26-RACU yes 100

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