Will Sal Frelick lead Pro Baseball in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?

4¢
Bid/Ask 0/4¢·Spread 4¢·Vol $0·OI $1·Closes Oct 22, 2026·188d remaining
KXLEADERMLBRBI-26-SFRE

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market exhibits extreme illiquidity with only $1 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 4¢ price potentially unreliable for actual trading. The 4660% implied yield on the Yes side is a classic artifact of minimal liquidity rather than genuine edge, while the 24 Cliff Risk Index suggests resolution uncertainty that may reflect Frelick's injury risk or potential mid-season trades. At 188 days to expiration, the market has sufficient time for Frelick's performance trajectory to become clearer, but traders should expect wide spreads and difficulty executing meaningful positions given the current micro-liquidity.

Resolution rules

If Sal Frelick leads Pro Baseball in RBIs for the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 4660.2%
IY (No) 8.1%
Adj IY 2330%
CRI 24
Overround 0.6%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)4660.2%
IY (No)8.1%
Adj IY2330%
CRI24
Overround0.6%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
4¢
Computed
4/17/2026, 2:44:38 PM
Indicators computed 4/17/2026, 2:38:52 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXLEADERMLBRBI-26-SFRE yes 100

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