Will San Francisco draft a Defensive Lineman / Edge first?

45¢
Bid/Ask 37/41¢·Spread 4¢·Vol $0·OI $42.77·Closes May 3, 2026·14d remaining
KXNFLTEAM1POS-26SF-DLED
7-day price3 snapshots · 4 regime
37¢2¢Apr 15Apr 16

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $42.77 open interest, making the 45¢ price potentially unreliable for serious trading. The implied yield of 4363% on the Yes side is a red flag indicating thin liquidity rather than genuine opportunity, and the sharp 7-day price movement from 2¢ to 37¢ suggests recent volatility driven by minimal order flow. With just 14 days to expiry and a 2 Cliff Risk Index, this market lacks sufficient depth for confident position-taking despite the seemingly attractive odds.

Resolution rules

If San Francisco select any Defensive Lineman / Edge with their 1st pick in the 2026 Pro Football Draft, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 4363.1%
IY (No) 1505.0%
Adj IY 1946%
CRI 2
Overround 0.1%
LAS 0.11
▶ Full indicator table (6)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)4363.1%
IY (No)1505.0%
Adj IY1946%
CRI2
Overround0.1%
LAS0.11

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
4¢
Computed
4/19/2026, 8:22:18 AM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/19/2026, 8:08:31 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXNFLTEAM1POS-26SF-DLED yes 100

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