Will Scottie Scheffler win the RBC Heritage?

This market shows extreme distress signals with a 100,000% implied yield on Yes contracts and a realized volatility of 2,131%, suggesting massive repricing or potential resolution uncertainty with just 2 days to expiry. The 7-cent price has collapsed from 10 cents over the past week despite $1.28M in 24-hour volume, indicating strong selling pressure that contradicts Scheffler's status as a top golfer, and the zero spread combined with a 13 Cliff Risk Index suggests thin liquidity at the extremes and potential for sharp moves near resolution. The 2.5 information arrivals per hour signal active market discussion, but the neutral regime score and extreme yield metrics warrant caution—this pricing may reflect either genuine late-breaking information about Scheffler's participation or a liquidity crisis rather than fundamental odds.

Resolution rules

If Scottie Scheffler wins the RBC Heritage, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

Regime

Trade