Will Tanner Scott win NL Reliever of the Year?

4¢

Bid/Ask 0/4¢·Spread 4¢·Vol $0·OI $2·Closes Dec 8, 2026·233d remaining

KXMLBNLRELOTY-26-TSCO

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market is severely illiquid with only $2 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 4¢ price potentially unreliable for actual trading. The extreme 3754.9% implied yield on the Yes side reflects the minimal liquidity rather than genuine edge, and the 24 Cliff Risk Index suggests resolution uncertainty that could create execution challenges. With 233 days to expiry, this appears to be a dead market that would require significant capital injection to become tradeable at meaningful size.

Resolution rules

If Tanner Scott wins the Pro Baseball National League Reliever of the Year in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 3754.9%

IY (No) 6.5%

Adj IY 1877%

CRI 24

Overround 0.5%

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	3754.9%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	6.5%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	1877%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	24	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	0.5%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

4¢

Computed

4/19/2026, 8:00:43 AM

Indicators computed 4/19/2026, 7:53:35 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXMLBNLRELOTY-26-TSCO yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →