Will Trea Turner lead Pro Baseball in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?

4¢
Bid/Ask 0/4¢·Spread 4¢·Vol $0·OI $1·Closes Oct 22, 2026·188d remaining
KXLEADERMLBRBI-26-TTUR

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $1 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 4¢ price potentially unreliable. The 4647% implied yield on the Yes side is a classic sign of minimal liquidity rather than genuine edge—such yields typically appear when very few shares trade at low prices. With 189 days until expiry and a neutral regime, this market lacks sufficient trading activity to serve as a meaningful probability estimate, though Turner's historical RBI production would need to significantly outpace elite sluggers to justify even the 4% implied probability.

Resolution rules

If Trea Turner leads Pro Baseball in RBIs for the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 4660.2%
IY (No) 8.1%
Adj IY 2330%
CRI 24
Overround 0.6%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)4660.2%
IY (No)8.1%
Adj IY2330%
CRI24
Overround0.6%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
4¢
Computed
4/17/2026, 2:50:09 PM
Indicators computed 4/17/2026, 2:38:52 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXLEADERMLBRBI-26-TTUR yes 100

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