Will the US fall below 7.60 during the Trump Administration on the Economist's Democracy Index between 2025 and 2028: below 7.60

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32%
20 markets·Kalshi + Polymarket

Kalshi

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27%

16 contracts

Polymarket

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50%

4 contracts

Cross-venue gap23¢

Contracts

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

P$2.0M
50¢

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

P$125K
51¢

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

P$103K
51¢

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

P$54K
48¢

Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $82 by Apr 30, 2026?: 81.99 or below

K$17K
3¢

Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be <88.00 on May 1, 2026?: $87.99 or below

K$9K
8¢

Will Ordinary be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of May 9, 2026: 1

K$8K
4¢

Will the **high temp in Austin** be <92° on Apr 28, 2026?: 91° or below

K$7K
19¢

Will the President's approval rating be below 39.9 according to RealClearPolitics?: Below 39.9

K$7K
8¢

Will Choosin' Texas be #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of May 9, 2026: Choosin' Texas

K$6K
96¢

Will the **high temp in Philadelphia** be <66° on Apr 28, 2026?: 65° or below

K$5K
24¢

Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $80 by Apr 30, 2026?: 79.99 or below

K$4K
3¢

Will the maximum temperature be <86° on Apr 28, 2026?: 85° or below

K$3K
8¢

Will the number of unemployment rate exceeds 10% (monthly BLS); S&P 500 declines more than 30% from its closing level on Issuance; Zillow Home Value Index declines more than 10% YoY in any of: NYC, LA, San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Phoenix; labor share of gross domestic income (GDI) first-release value for any quarter falls below 50%; CPI-U (All items, not seasonally-adjusted) YoY falls below 0% in any monthly release during before July 2028 be above 2?: Yes

K$3K
24¢

Will the unemployment rate for ages 16 to 24 (seasonally adjusted) for 2026 fall below 7.5%?: Yes

K$717
9¢

Will the US fall below 7.60 during the Trump Administration on the Economist's Democracy Index between 2025 and 2028: below 7.60

K$0
83¢

Will the US fall below 7.50 during the Trump Administration on the Economist's Democracy Index between 2025 and 2028: below 7.50

K$0
50¢

Will the US fall below 7.00 during the Trump Administration on the Economist's Democracy Index between 2025 and 2028: below 7.00

K$0
19¢

Will So Easy (To Fall In Love) be Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 during the week of May 9, 2026: So Easy (To Fall In Love)

K$0
45¢

Will the US fall below 7.25 during the Trump Administration on the Economist's Democracy Index between 2025 and 2028: below 7.25

K$0
30¢

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