Denmark vs. Ukraine - Exact Score

30-day trend

Analysis

This market is pricing a 13% probability that Denmark defeats Ukraine by exactly 1-0. The contracts reflect significant uncertainty about the match outcome, with the three most likely exact scores (1-0, 1-1, and 2-0) each trading within a narrow 12-13 cent range, indicating no strong consensus on a specific result. The probability distribution suggests that traders expect a low-scoring match, given that scorelines with 3+ goals combined represent a small portion of total market value. The match outcome depends primarily on each team's current form, squad availability, and the tactical approach each side adopts. Once the match concludes, the contract will resolve definitively based on the final score.

• ›The top three exact scorelines (1-0, 1-1, 2-0) are clustered within 1 percentage point, indicating broad uncertainty rather than strong conviction around any single outcome.
• ›Recent head-to-head records, current FIFA rankings, and injury status of key players would materially affect the likelihood of a 1-0 Denmark victory versus other low-scoring outcomes.
• ›Zero 24-hour trading volume across all contracts suggests limited recent market activity and prices that may reflect stale information rather than fresh trader assessment.
• ›Low-scoring exact results (1-0, 1-1, 0-1) comprise roughly 38% of total contract value, implying traders expect a defensive or tactically cautious match.
• ›The match date and venue, along with whether either team is playing for a specific tournament objective or has rotation concerns, would be critical variables driving final probabilities.

What moved the line

• Jun 6Exact Score: Any Other Score↓15pp22→7¢ · Polymarket

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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

How we compute these odds