Where is Ethereum price heading?
Leader sits at 11% across 8 bound outcomes, runner-up at 10%. This is a winner-take-all market — the headline is the leader’s price, not an arithmetic mean.
Leader probability
1,250 to 1,499.99
Outcomes
8
winner-take-all
Runner-up
10¢
1,500 to 1,749.99
Spread
1pp
contested
24h volume
$136
thin orderbook
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
196 days
Venue
Kalshi
8 bound
30-day trend
Bracket family
How the bracket ladder is priced.
Each row is one outcome on the venue. Sorted by 24h volume — the heaviest book is at the top.
Cluster 1
eth price on jan 1, 2027
ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?: 1,500 to 1,749.99
KXETHY-27JAN0100-B1625
ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?: 1,750 to 1,999.99
KXETHY-27JAN0100-B1875
ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?: 2,750 to 2,999.99
KXETHY-27JAN0100-B2875
ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?: 2,250 to 2,499.99
KXETHY-27JAN0100-B2375
ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?: 2,000 to 2,249.99
KXETHY-27JAN0100-B2125
ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?: 1,250 to 1,499.99
KXETHY-27JAN0100-B1375
ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?: 1,000 to 1,249.99
KXETHY-27JAN0100-B1125
ETH price on Jan 1, 2027?: 999.99 or below
KXETHY-27JAN0100-T1000.00
What moved the line
- Jun 162,000 to 2,249.99↓3pp8→5¢ · Kalshi
Recently closed in bitcoin
- US Trade Deficit in 2026?: 600–700Blast 33% · 0d
- Bitcoin all time high by ___last 7% · 0d
- What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?: ↓ 1,000last 72% · 0d
- What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?: ↑ 120,000last 86% · 0d
- When will Bitcoin hit $150k?: by December 31, 2026last 6% · 0d
These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.
More like this
Other questions in bitcoin.
In bitcoin
Related reading
Bitcoin Sentiment Sours: Market Paints a Bearish Picture for Q3 2026
Bitcoin is down 2.31% on the day (IBIT), and prediction markets now give a 72% probability that BTC will drop below $55,000 in 2026, up 2 points today. The odds of reclaiming $100,000 by July 1 are just 1%, a stark reversal of relatively recent bullish sentiment.
Bitcoin Sell-Off Deepens: Markets Price Sub-$50k Probability Above 50%
Bitcoin tumbled over 5%, dragging down IBIT and ETHE. Prediction markets now assign a 53% probability of BTC hitting $50k and a 39% chance of $45k by year-end. Risk-off sentiment dominates as traders flee crypto.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.
Last updated on this page: just now.