Bitcoin & Crypto Prediction Market Odds

MicroStrategy Bitcoin Sale Odds Collapse, Signaling Bullish Conviction

The probability that MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31 crashed 14¢ to just 21¢, and the June 30 contract fell 23¢ to 43¢. Markets are concluding that Michael Saylor will not sell, reinforcing a bullish Bitcoin supply narrative.

MicroStrategy Bitcoin Sale Probability Skyrockets, Crypto Markets Wobble

The market for MicroStrategy selling any Bitcoin by May 31 surged +11 points to 40¢, while the probability for a sale by June 30 is now 71¢. This selling pressure narrative is weighing on Bitcoin prices, which are down alongside traditional risk assets.

MicroStrategy Bitcoin Sale Odds Collapse, Pushing BTC Lower

The probability that MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31 plummeted 22¢ to 34¢, driving bearish sentiment across the Bitcoin ecosystem. The market now expects a longer-term hold.

MicroStrategy Bitcoin Sale Probability Volatile – May 31 Contract Drops 5¢

The likelihood that MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31 fell 5¢ to 56¢, while the June 30 contract rose 2¢ to 76¢. Traders are navigating conflicting signals about the company's Bitcoin strategy.

MicroStrategy Bitcoin Sale Odds Spike: May 31 Contract Hits 56¢, June 30 at 78¢

The 'MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026' contract surged 3¢ to 56¢ on 489k volume, while the June 30 contract hit 78¢ (+4¢). This suggests traders increasingly believe MSTR will sell some of its massive BTC holdings, potentially catalyzing a market move. IBIT ETF dropped -1.33% and Bitcoin spot markets show weakness.

MicroStrategy BTC Sale Odds Skyrocket 16 Points

The probability that MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31 surged 16 points to 61¢ on Polymarket, the largest single move in crypto prediction markets today. This suggests a potential catalyst — earnings report,13F filing, or strategic pivot — may be driving the market.

MicroStrategy Bitcoin Sale Probability Surges 11 Points

The market now sees a 54% chance MicroStrategy will sell some of its Bitcoin holdings by May 31, up 11 points. This is a massive shift for a single event contract and reflects growing bearish sentiment towards Bitcoin from its largest corporate holder.

Bitcoin $150k Target Sees Record Volume as MicroStrategy Hints at Sale

The 'When will Bitcoin hit $150k?' market has seen over 5.8M in total volume, making it the most traded event on Polymarket. MicroStrategy's potential Bitcoin sale probability jumped 5 points to 45¢, adding bearish pressure.

MicroStrategy Bitcoin Sale Odds Fall Sharply, BTC Price Target Markets Still Bearish

The market for MicroStrategy selling any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026 dropped 12¢ to 31¢, a significant move. Meanwhile, the Bitcoin $150k target by June 2026 remains at 1¢ with over 5.8 million volume, reflecting deep skepticism of a massive rally.

MicroStrategy Bitcoin Sale Odds Jump: Potential Supply Shock Looms

Probability that MicroStrategy sells Bitcoin by May 31 surged 16¢ to 32¢, and by June 30 jumped 13¢ to 60¢, after the company hinted at a strategic sale. This would be a major bearish catalyst for Bitcoin prices if executed, given MicroStrategy's massive holdings. The Bitcoin $150k by June 2026 contract remains at 1¢, suggesting high skepticism about a near-term rally.