HIGH·BUY YES·macroApr 13, 2026
WTI $84 minimum crashed too hard on ceasefire optionality
KXWTIMINM-26APR30-T84 crashed -18¢ to 5¢ today — an 18-cent single-day collapse implying WTI will NOT reach $84 as a minimum at any point through April 30. Yet spot WTI is currently trading well above $84 given the $105 contract at 83¢. This contract resolves YES if WTI touches $84 at ANY point before April 30 — it almost certainly already has. At 5¢ this is deeply mispriced; buy YES.
edge95¢
horizonApr 30, 2026
directionBUY YES
markets1
Catalyst
WTI spot implied at $100+ by upper-strike contracts; $84 minimum-touch resolved YES already at current spot
Risk
Contract has unusual settlement methodology or uses a different WTI series than implied
Referenced Markets
sf ideas && sf book KXWTIMINM-26APR30-T84More Ideas
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