Will Joey Daccord win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?
Analysis
AI-generated · updated dailyThis market shows a significant cross-venue arbitrage opportunity, with Kalshi pricing Daccord at 3¢ (0.03% implied probability) while Polymarket sits at 0¢, suggesting potential mispricing or liquidity differences between platforms. The $704.38 open interest against zero 24-hour volume indicates the market is essentially inactive on Polymarket, making the 0¢ price potentially unreliable for valuation purposes. With over 18 months until the June 2026 expiration, the extremely low pricing across both venues reflects consensus skepticism about Daccord's Vezina chances despite his strong 2024–25 season, though the lack of trading activity limits confidence in either venue's price discovery.
Also on kalshi at 3¢(Δ -3¢)
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NHL Vezina Trophy. If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Vezina Trophy, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Regime
Trade
sf trade 0x04dfaf56a6df2067ddae8edf10a878c9f5434cf569f5aceeb680a2990f83562b yes 100