Who will win Vezina Trophy?

3¢

Bid/Ask 0/1¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $0·OI $624·Closes Jun 30, 2026·72d remaining

KXNHLVEZINA-26-JDAC

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme mispricing with a 16,404% implied yield on the Yes side, suggesting Joey Daccord is dramatically undervalued at 3¢ despite being a legitimate Vezina contender as the Seattle Kraken's starting goaltender. The zero 24-hour volume and thin $624 open interest indicate severe illiquidity, making the 1¢ spread potentially misleading—any meaningful trade could move the price substantially. With 72 days to the June 30, 2026 close and a high cliff risk index of 32, this appears to be a mispriced long-tail bet rather than a reliable market signal, especially given the absence of comparable pricing data from Polymarket.

Cross-venue

Also on polymarket at —¢

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.95Close-time delta 14h

Resolution rules

If Joey Daccord wins the NHL Vezina Trophy in the 2025-26 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 16404.4%

IY (No) 15.7%

Adj IY 8202%

CRI 32

Overround 0.4%

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	16404.4%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	15.7%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	8202%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	32	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	0.4%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

1¢

Computed

4/19/2026, 3:27:16 PM

Indicators computed 4/19/2026, 3:23:15 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNHLVEZINA-26-JDAC yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →