Will Jacob Markstrom win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?

This market shows a striking 6-cent cross-venue gap, with Markstrom priced at 0% on Polymarket versus 6% on Kalshi, suggesting significant arbitrage opportunity or liquidity fragmentation between platforms. The 0% price on Polymarket appears artificially depressed given Markstrom's status as a starting NHL goaltender and the 6% valuation elsewhere, though the $0 24-hour volume indicates this contract is essentially illiquid on Polymarket. With over 18 months until resolution (6/30/2026) and $1.2M in open interest, the market may be suffering from poor price discovery rather than genuine consensus that Markstrom has zero chance of winning the award.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NHL Vezina Trophy. If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Vezina Trophy, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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