Who will win Vezina Trophy?

6¢

Bid/Ask 0/1¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $0·OI $1·Closes Jun 30, 2026·72d remaining

KXNHLVEZINA-26-JMAR

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $1 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 6¢ price potentially unreliable despite the astronomical 7948.5% implied yield on the Yes side. The 1¢ spread and near-zero trading activity suggest this is a ghost market with minimal real price discovery, and the Cliff Risk Index of 16 indicates meaningful tail risk as we approach the June 30, 2026 expiration (72 days out). The absence of a Polymarket comparison price further limits arbitrage opportunities and confidence in fair valuation for Jacob Markstrom's Vezina Trophy odds.

Cross-venue

Also on polymarket at —¢

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.95Close-time delta 14h

Resolution rules

If Jacob Markstrom wins the NHL Vezina Trophy in the 2025-26 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 7948.5%

IY (No) 32.4%

Adj IY 3974%

CRI 16

Overround 0.4%

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	7948.5%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	32.4%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	3974%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	16	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	0.4%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

1¢

Computed

4/19/2026, 3:24:44 PM

Indicators computed 4/19/2026, 3:23:15 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNHLVEZINA-26-JMAR yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →