Will Juuse Saros win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?

This market shows a significant cross-venue arbitrage opportunity, with Kalshi pricing Saros at 5¢ implied probability versus Polymarket's 0¢, suggesting potential mispricing on the latter venue. The 0% price on Polymarket appears artificially depressed given $1.2M in open interest and Saros's established credentials as a starting goaltender for Nashville, making zero probability unrealistic for an 18-month forward contract. The substantial liquidity gap between venues and complete lack of 24-hour volume on Polymarket indicate this may be a stale or illiquid market where the true probability likely sits between the two prices.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NHL Vezina Trophy. If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Vezina Trophy, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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