Who will win Vezina Trophy?

This market shows extreme mispricing with a 9,640% implied yield on the Yes side, yet zero 24-hour volume and minimal $375 open interest suggest severe illiquidity and potential data staleness. The 1¢ spread and Polymarket's null price indicate this contract may be inactive or delisted elsewhere, raising questions about whether the 5¢ Kalshi price reflects genuine market consensus or stale quotes. With 72 days to expiry and a high cliff risk index of 19, any position here faces significant execution risk and should only appeal to contrarian bettors confident in Saros's Vezina odds being substantially higher than 5%.

Resolution rules

If Juuse Saros wins the NHL Vezina Trophy in the 2025-26 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes.

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