Calgary Wranglers vs Colorado Eagles Winner?

The Calgary Wranglers contract shows extreme asymmetry with a 73¢ Yes price but a staggering 13,731% implied yield on the No side, suggesting the market may be pricing in near-certainty of a Calgary win despite the game being originally scheduled for April 17 but still open 14 days before the May 2 close date. The massive 4,403% realized volatility and 3.63 vol ratio indicate this market has experienced severe price swings, likely driven by game postponement or rescheduling confusion, and the 3¢ → 72¢ seven-day movement confirms recent dramatic repricing. With only $3,860 open interest and a 4¢ spread on Kalshi, liquidity is thin for such a volatile contract, creating potential execution risk for larger positions.

Resolution rules

If Calgary Wranglers wins the Calgary Wranglers vs Colorado Eagles professional AHL hockey game originally scheduled for Apr 17, 2026 at 9:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

Regime

Trade