Heidenheim wins by over 1.5 goals?

10¢
Bid/Ask 6/7¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $0·OI $41·Closes May 3, 2026·14d remaining
KXBUNDESLIGASPREAD-26APR19SCFFCH-FCH1
7-day price37 snapshots · 6 regime
6¢1¢Apr 12Apr 17

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $41 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 10¢ price potentially unreliable despite the tight 1¢ spread. The astronomical 40,264% implied yield on the Yes side suggests severe mispricing or a liquidity trap rather than genuine market consensus, especially given Heidenheim's modest goal-scoring profile in the Bundesliga. With 14 days to expiry and a high cliff risk index of 16, this appears to be a thin, speculative contract where any trade could dramatically move the price.

Resolution rules

If Heidenheim wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Freiburg vs Heidenheim professional Bundesliga soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 19, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 40264.3%
IY (No) 164.0%
Adj IY 20132%
CRI 16
Overround -0.5%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)40264.3%
IY (No)164.0%
Adj IY20132%
CRI16
Overround-0.5%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/19/2026, 8:45:20 AM
Indicators computed 4/19/2026, 8:38:31 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXBUNDESLIGASPREAD-26APR19SCFFCH-FCH1 yes 100

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