Will the corn close price be above $437.99 on Apr 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $3 in 24-hour volume and $128.6 open interest, making the 86¢ price potentially unreliable despite the tight 5¢ spread. The "No" side offers a staggering 17,559% implied yield versus just 392% for "Yes," suggesting severe mispricing or that traders are demanding extraordinary compensation for tail risk on a contract expiring in just 14 days. The 7-day price surge from 41¢ to 87¢ combined with 62,157% realized volatility and a Cliff Risk Index of 7 indicates this market has experienced dramatic repricing, likely driven by minimal trading activity rather than fundamental conviction about corn prices.

Resolution rules

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for corn on April 30, 2026 at 5 PM EDT is above 437.99 USd/Bu, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

Regime

Trade