BC AEK Athens vs Panionios BC Athens Winner?

BC AEK Athens has moved dramatically from 6¢ to 99¢ over seven days, now pricing in a 99% win probability with extreme asymmetric yields—the No side offers a staggering 13,744% implied yield versus just 499% for Yes, reflecting the market's near-certainty in AEK's victory. The 1¢ spread and $26.5k daily volume suggest reasonable liquidity despite the lopsided pricing, though the 4,905% realized volatility and high cliff risk (5/10) indicate this market experienced significant uncertainty before the recent sharp repricing. With 14 days to expiry and an information arrival rate of 0.8 events per hour, late-breaking news about injuries or roster changes could still move the needle, though the market appears to have largely settled on AEK as the heavy favorite.

Resolution rules

If BC AEK Athens wins the BC AEK Athens vs Panionios BC Athens professional Greek Basketball League basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 19, 2026 at 9:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

Regime

Trade