Will the minimum temperature be 65-66° on Apr 13, 2026?
KXLOWTSATX-26APR13-B65.5 · closes Apr 14, 2026 · 1 days remaining
Price
Last
2¢
Bid
1¢
Ask
2¢
Spread
1¢
24h Volume
$473
Open Interest
$473
Indicator Stack
| Indicator | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| IY (Yes) | >100,000% | Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side |
| IY (No) | 1475.6% | Annualized return on the NO side |
| CRI | 32 | Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution |
| EE | — | Event Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes |
| Overround | -0.3% | Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family |
| LAS | — | Liquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500 |
| CVR | — | Contagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron |
| RV | 6844% | Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history |
| VR | 1.51 | Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead |
| IAR | 4.3/h | Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window) |
| Adj IY | 100000% | Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS) |
| Residual VR | — | VR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't |
LAS / CVR are null because this market is outside the warm-regime cron's top 500 by 24h volume. Coverage is sparse by design.
7-Day History
93 indicator snapshots · 1 regime snapshots
Regime Snapshot
Score
0.5
Label
neutral
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/13/2026, 1:12:35 PM
About this market
If the minimum temperature recorded at San Antonio for Apr 13, 2026, is between 65-66° fahrenheit according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
How to trade
View on kalshi: external link →
Or with the sf CLI: sf trade KXLOWTSATX-26APR13-B65.5 yes 100