Who will win Vezina Trophy?

Andrei Vasilevskiy is priced at a substantial 93¢ on Kalshi versus 87¢ on Polymarket, representing a notable 6¢ cross-venue gap that suggests either Kalshi traders are more confident in his candidacy or there's an arbitrage opportunity. The market has surged 25 percentage points over seven days (65¢ to 90¢), indicating either recent performance momentum or shifting market sentiment, though the thin $103 daily volume raises questions about price discovery reliability. The extreme 4565.5% implied yield on "No" reflects the lopsided odds, but with 72 days to the June 2026 resolution and a Cliff Risk Index of 9, significant late-season developments could still reshape this outcome.

Resolution rules

If Andrei Vasilevskiy wins the NHL Vezina Trophy in the 2025-26 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes.

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