Will Megan Moroney be 1 on the Any Spotify Daily Top Songs Global chart in April 2026?
1¢
Bid/Ask 0/7¢·Spread 7¢·Vol $0·OI $100·Closes May 1, 2026
KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTGLOBAL-26MAY01-MEG
Analysis
AI-generated · updated dailyThis market is pricing an extremely unlikely outcome at just 1¢, implying only a 1% probability that Megan Moroney achieves a global #1 on Spotify in April 2026 despite her recent chart success. The 7¢ spread is notably wide relative to the 1¢ price, and the $0 24-hour volume combined with just $100 open interest suggests severe illiquidity that makes this price potentially unreliable. With the market closing May 1, 2026, there's roughly 16 months for Moroney to reach this milestone, making the valuation seem pessimistic given her trajectory as a rising country artist.
Resolution rules
If Megan Moroney has a #1 song on Any Spotify Daily Top Songs Global chart in April 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Regime
Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
7¢
Computed
4/19/2026, 8:45:20 AM
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sf trade KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTGLOBAL-26MAY01-MEG yes 100