Will Wesley Hunt endorse Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate Runoff before May 26, 2026?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $1,286 in open interest, making the 5135% implied yield on the Yes side largely theoretical and unreliable for actual trading. The price has risen 23% over seven days (13¢ to 16¢) despite no volume, suggesting minimal real conviction behind the 16% probability, and the high cliff risk index of 5 indicates significant uncertainty about resolution mechanics or timing. With just 37 days to expiry and a narrow 1¢ spread, this appears to be a speculative position rather than an efficiently priced market.

Resolution rules

If Wesley Hunt publicly endorses Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate Runoff before May 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

Regime

Trade