Will Elise Mertens win the Mertens vs Seidel: Round Of 32 match?
KXWTAMATCH-26APR13MERSEI-MER · closes Apr 27, 2026 · 14 days remaining
Price
Last
85¢
Bid
84¢
Ask
86¢
Spread
2¢
24h Volume
$342
Open Interest
$342
Indicator Stack
| Indicator | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| IY (Yes) | 500.5% | Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side |
| IY (No) | 13795.9% | Annualized return on the NO side |
| CRI | 5 | Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution |
| EE | — | Event Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes |
| Overround | — | Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family |
| LAS | 0.02 | Liquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500 |
| CVR | — | Contagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron |
| RV | 1710% | Realized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history |
| VR | 6.82 | Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead |
| IAR | 0.4/h | Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window) |
| Adj IY | 13468% | Risk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS) |
| Residual VR | — | VR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't |
7-Day History
10 indicator snapshots · 3 regime snapshots
Regime Snapshot
Score
0.5
Label
neutral
Spread
—¢
Computed
4/13/2026, 10:40:11 AM
About this market
If Elise Mertens wins the Mertens vs Seidel professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Stuttgart Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
How to trade
View on kalshi: external link →
Or with the sf CLI: sf trade KXWTAMATCH-26APR13MERSEI-MER yes 100