Will Rosen Zhelyazkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Zhelyazkov's 13¢ price reflects minimal market conviction with zero 24-hour volume despite $26.6K open interest, suggesting illiquidity and potential stagnation. The extreme 1,077% implied yield on a "Yes" resolution indicates the market is pricing in very long odds, though the modest 1¢ price uptick over seven days and neutral regime score suggest limited new information flow. With 227 days to expiry and a 7/10 cliff risk index, this appears to be a speculative position with thin trading depth rather than an actively monitored race.

Resolution rules

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).

Indicators

Regime

Trade