Will Anthony Volpe win the 2026 AL Comeback Player of the Year award?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and a massive 42¢ spread, making the 22¢ price potentially unreliable for actual trading. The 499% implied yield on the Yes side is artificially inflated due to the thin order book, while the realized volatility of 5439% and recent sharp price decline from 40¢ to 23¢ over seven days suggest significant uncertainty or information arrival about Volpe's injury/recovery prospects. With 245 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 3, this appears to be a speculative position with minimal market depth rather than an efficiently-priced prediction.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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