Will Logan Thompson win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?

Logan Thompson's Vezina odds show a notable 200-basis-point cross-venue gap, trading at 5¢ on Polymarket versus 3¢ on Kalshi, suggesting potential arbitrage opportunity or venue-specific liquidity differences. The 9,710% implied yield on the "Yes" side is extreme but reflects the minuscule 5% probability and thin $93k daily volume relative to $860k open interest, indicating low liquidity and high sensitivity to small price movements. With 71 days to market close and a neutral regime score, the 3,840% realized volatility underscores the speculative nature of this long-shot bet on a goaltender who would need an exceptional season to contend for the award.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NHL Vezina Trophy. If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Vezina Trophy, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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