Will Scott Wedgewood win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?

Scott Wedgewood's 3-cent price reflects an extremely low 3% implied probability of winning the Vezina Trophy, yet the Yes side shows an extraordinary 16,524% implied yield—a massive asymmetry suggesting either severe mispricing or extreme illiquidity concerns. With only $136 in 24-hour volume against $885 open interest and a tight 3-cent spread, the market lacks sufficient depth to validate these yield calculations, and the 32 Cliff Risk Index indicates significant resolution uncertainty. At 71 days to expiry, this appears to be a speculative long-shot bet with minimal trading activity rather than a liquid, efficiently-priced market.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NHL Vezina Trophy. If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Vezina Trophy, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Trade