What will the announcers say during Atlanta vs Philadelphia Professional Baseball Game?

72¢
Bid/Ask 72/94¢·Spread 22¢·Vol $190·OI $200·Closes May 3, 2026·15d remaining
KXMLBMENTION-26APR19ATLPHI-DOUB
7-day price13 snapshots · 1 regime
86¢55¢Apr 17Apr 19

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme mispricing with a 72¢ Yes price implying 955.7% annualized yield, while the No side offers an astronomical 6,319.5% yield—a clear sign of illiquidity and uncertainty about whether "double play" will be announced during a single baseball game. With only $200 open interest and a 22¢ spread across 15 days to expiry, the thin liquidity makes both sides risky, though the Yes probability seems reasonable given that double plays occur regularly in baseball and announcers typically call them out. The 438% realized volatility and neutral regime suggest this market has experienced significant price swings, likely driven by low volume trades rather than fundamental information arrival.

Resolution rules

If the play by play or color commentator(s) says Double Play as part of Atlanta vs Philadelphia Professional Baseball Game , then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 955.7%
IY (No) 6319.5%
Adj IY 6320%
CRI 3
RV 438%
VR 1.42
▶ Full indicator table (8)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)955.7%
IY (No)6319.5%
Adj IY6320%
CRI3
RV438%
VR1.42
IAR0.3/h
Overround7.5%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
22¢
Computed
4/19/2026, 3:01:54 AM
Indicators computed 4/19/2026, 2:53:20 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXMLBMENTION-26APR19ATLPHI-DOUB yes 100

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