Will David Njoku play for New England Patriots in 2026-27?

33¢
Bid/Ask 1/65¢·Spread 63¢·Vol $0·OI $53.136·Closes Sep 1, 2026·136d remaining
0xdf81e76a04183329a7da0df522655b3ea016236f6ce3d2f4a2eb5e6b1a4de41b
7-day price334 snapshots · 5 regime
48¢4¢Apr 8Apr 17

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $53k open interest, and the 63¢ spread represents a massive 190% bid-ask gap that makes meaningful trading impossible. The Yes position offers a striking 498% implied yield, but this is likely a mispricing artifact given the thin order book rather than genuine edge—the 2761% realized volatility and 11.33 vol ratio suggest wild swings on minimal trades. With 136 days to expiry and the market pricing only a 33% chance Njoku joins New England (down from 44¢ a week ago), the real risk is that any actual trade could move prices dramatically in either direction due to the illiquidity.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the next team David Njoku officially joins by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If David Njoku does not officially join a new team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. If David Njoku joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”. If David Njoku is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. An official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NFL and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 498.0%
IY (No) 144.4%
Adj IY 498%
CRI 2
RV 2761%
VR 11.33
▶ Full indicator table (8)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)498.0%
IY (No)144.4%
Adj IY498%
CRI2
RV2761%
VR11.33
IAR2.2/h
Overround8.5%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
63¢
Computed
4/17/2026, 9:16:01 PM
Indicators computed 4/17/2026, 9:08:51 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xdf81e76a04183329a7da0df522655b3ea016236f6ce3d2f4a2eb5e6b1a4de41b yes 100

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