Will Paris Gentle Mates win the Carolina Royal Ravens vs. Paris Gentle Mates match?

99¢
Bid/Ask 0/100¢·Spread 100¢·Vol $48,882.22·OI $40,742.59·Closes Apr 17, 2026·14d remaining
KXCODGAME-26APR171500CRRPAR-PAR
7-day price113 snapshots · 10 regime
99¢3¢Apr 14Apr 17

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

Paris Gentle Mates is priced at an extremely bullish 86¢, implying an 86% win probability, yet the "No" side offers a staggering 13,723.8% implied yield compared to just 497.9% for "Yes"—a massive asymmetry suggesting severe mispricing or extreme confidence in the favorite. The market has experienced wild volatility (796% realized vol) with the price surging 3¢ to 84¢ over seven days, though modest 24-hour volume of $38,750 and an 8¢ spread raise liquidity concerns for a match scheduled just 14 days out. The elevated Cliff Risk Index of 5 and 2.1 info arrivals per hour indicate this esports matchup carries meaningful event risk before resolution.

Resolution rules

If Paris Gentle Mates wins the Call of Duty League Stage 3 Major Qualifiers 2026: Carolina Royal Ravens vs. Paris Gentle Mates Call of Duty match originally scheduled for Apr 17, 2026 at 3:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 497.9%
IY (No) 13723.8%
Adj IY 13397%
CRI 5
RV 796%
VR 2.42
▶ Full indicator table (8)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)497.9%
IY (No)13723.8%
Adj IY13397%
CRI5
RV796%
VR2.42
IAR2.1/h
LAS0.02

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
100¢
Computed
4/17/2026, 8:43:42 PM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/17/2026, 7:53:51 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXCODGAME-26APR171500CRRPAR-PAR yes 100

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