Who will feature on Drake's album 'Iceman'?

41¢
Bid/Ask 27/37¢·Spread 10¢·Vol $0·OI $1,906.43·Closes Jan 1, 2027·259d remaining
KXFEATUREDRAKE-27-TRA
7-day price13 snapshots · 5 regime
27¢8¢Apr 9Apr 17

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $1,906 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 41¢ price potentially unreliable despite a wide 10¢ spread. The 381% implied yield on the Yes side is extraordinarily high and likely reflects the thin liquidity rather than genuine probability assessment, particularly given the 645% realized volatility and 2.74 vol ratio indicating severe price instability. The recent sharp move from 8¢ to 27¢ over seven days combined with low information arrival (0.7/h) suggests this market may lack sufficient trader participation to establish a meaningful consensus on whether Travis Scott will feature on Drake's album before the 259-day expiry.

Resolution rules

If Travis Scott is featured on Drake's album 'Iceman' before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 381.4%
IY (No) 52.2%
Adj IY 381%
CRI 3
RV 645%
VR 2.74
▶ Full indicator table (8)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)381.4%
IY (No)52.2%
Adj IY381%
CRI3
RV645%
VR2.74
IAR0.7/h
Overround4.6%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
10¢
Computed
4/17/2026, 9:15:43 PM
Indicators computed 4/17/2026, 9:08:50 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXFEATUREDRAKE-27-TRA yes 100

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