Will Trump pardon Roger Ver before 2027?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $2.67M open interest, suggesting the $2,670 spread reflects stale pricing rather than active trading. The 608.7% implied yield on the Yes side is unusually high and likely a mathematical artifact of the low 21¢ price combined with the ~14-month timeframe, but the 2179% realized volatility and 9.10 vol ratio indicate this market has experienced significant historical swings, possibly from news events around Roger Ver's legal status. With 256 days to expiry and a neutral regime score, traders should be cautious about the reliability of this price given the absence of recent transaction activity.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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