Will Wesley Hunt endorse John Cornyn in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate Runoff before May 26, 2026?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $3,816 open interest, suggesting the 16¢ price may not reflect genuine consensus and could be vulnerable to sharp moves as the May 26 expiration approaches in 37 days. The 5135% implied yield on the Yes side is a red flag indicating the market is pricing in an extremely unlikely scenario, while the 6¢ spread is notably wide relative to the 16¢ price, reflecting low confidence in fair valuation. With a Cliff Risk Index of 5 and neutral regime, this appears to be a thin, speculative position rather than an efficiently-priced market.

Resolution rules

If Wesley Hunt publicly endorses John Cornyn in the 2026 Texas Republican Senate Runoff before May 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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