Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Thomas Massie's 2028 presidential odds are priced at an extremely low 1%, reflecting minimal market conviction in a Kentucky congressman winning the presidency despite his libertarian-leaning profile and House Freedom Caucus prominence. The market shows healthy liquidity with $967.6M in open interest against $801.7K in 24-hour volume, though the zero spread and maker-regime score of 0.295 suggest limited active trading interest at these depressed odds. With roughly 1,400 days until the November 2028 election, this contract remains a deep long-shot bet typical of fringe candidate markets on Polymarket.

Resolution rules

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

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