Will Félix Auger-Aliassime be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

The 1¢ price reflects an extremely low 1% implied probability for Auger-Aliassime to win Wimbledon 2026, which appears reasonable given he's currently ranked outside the top 20 and has never reached a Grand Slam final. The market shows notable weakness with a sharp 50% price decline over seven days (from 2¢ to 1¢), suggesting deteriorating sentiment toward his chances, though the $24.6M open interest indicates this is a relatively liquid long-shot bet among the broader Wimbledon winner markets. With only $30.96 in 24-hour volume and the tournament just weeks away (closing July 12), liquidity is thin and any position entry would face significant slippage.

Resolution rules

Wimbledon 2026 is scheduled for June 29 - July 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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