Will Mirra Andreeva be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?

3¢
Bid/Ask 2/3¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $0·OI $25,087.737·Closes Jul 12, 2026·84d remaining
0x50c5a51c91cc69e471812c9d632f6e9b6ae95eb30772ac7a281b85c3e5ba23a6
7-day price7 snapshots · 4 regime
4¢3¢Apr 9Apr 16

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme mispricing with a 3¢ price generating a 14,118.9% implied yield on the yes side, suggesting severe undervaluation of Andreeva's chances despite her emerging status as a top prospect. The $0 24-hour volume combined with $25,087.737 open interest and a tight 1¢ spread indicates illiquidity and potential stale pricing, with no recent trades to validate the current quote. With 84 days to expiry and a moderate Cliff Risk Index of 32, the market appears to be pricing in either extreme skepticism about Andreeva's 2026 prospects or suffering from thin liquidity that has allowed the price to drift significantly below fundamental value.

Resolution rules

Wimbledon 2026 is scheduled for June 29 - July 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 14118.9%
IY (No) 13.5%
Adj IY 7059%
CRI 32
Overround -0.2%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)14118.9%
IY (No)13.5%
Adj IY7059%
CRI32
Overround-0.2%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.341
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/19/2026, 10:03:08 AM
Observability lowEvent type sports
Indicators computed 4/19/2026, 9:53:31 AM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x50c5a51c91cc69e471812c9d632f6e9b6ae95eb30772ac7a281b85c3e5ba23a6 yes 100

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