Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ramaswamy's 2028 presidential odds are priced at an extremely depressed 1%, despite substantial liquidity with $1.48M open interest and $69.2K in 24-hour volume, suggesting either strong consensus skepticism or potential mispricing given his 2024 campaign visibility and potential as a future GOP contender. The zero-spread market indicates efficient pricing between buyers and sellers, though the minimal 1-cent price leaves little room for profitable contrarian positions. With nearly four years until resolution, this represents a classic long-shot bet where even modest shifts in political dynamics could create significant percentage-point gains for early believers.

Resolution rules

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

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