Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Tulsi Gabbard's 2028 presidential odds are priced at an extremely low 1%, reflecting minimal market confidence in her candidacy despite substantial liquidity of $1.04M in open interest and robust 24-hour volume of $240,946. The zero-spread pricing suggests efficient market consensus around this depressed valuation, though the neutral regime score of 0.341 indicates some underlying uncertainty that could shift these odds if her political positioning or campaign trajectory changes materially. With over 3.5 years until the November 2028 election, this market remains highly speculative and sensitive to future political developments.

Resolution rules

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

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