Will JD Gaming win the Solus Victorem vs. JD Gaming Overwatch match?

89¢mid

Bid/Ask 83/94¢·Spread 11¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes May 2, 2026·15d remaining

KXOWGAME-26APR180700SVJDG-JDG

7-day price4 snapshots · 1 regime

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market exhibits extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price unreliable despite the astronomical 5,959% risk-adjusted implied yield. The 7-day price surge from 2¢ to 83¢ followed by collapse to 0¢, combined with an 11¢ spread and Cliff Risk Index of 5, suggests severe pricing instability and potential data anomalies rather than genuine market consensus. With only 15 days to expiry and the original match scheduled for April 18, this market may already be outdated or facing resolution complications.

Resolution rules

If JD Gaming wins the OCS China Stage 1 2026: Solus Victorem vs. JD Gaming Overwatch match originally scheduled for Apr 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 500.0%

IY (No) 11918.5%

Adj IY 5959%

CRI 5

▶ Full indicator table (4)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	500.0%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	11918.5%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	5959%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	5	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

11¢

Computed

4/17/2026, 12:08:56 PM

Indicators computed 4/17/2026, 12:08:51 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXOWGAME-26APR180700SVJDG-JDG yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →