Will Jeff Colyer win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $17k open interest, suggesting the 40¢ price may not reflect genuine market consensus and could be stale. The 499% implied yield on the "Yes" side is unusually high for a political primary market, indicating either significant mispricing or very low confidence in Colyer's candidacy among active traders. With 110 days to expiry and a neutral regime, the market lacks recent price discovery—the 7-day movement shows complete stagnation at 40¢—making this a speculative position rather than a liquid betting venue.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Kansas, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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