Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?

This market shows extreme asymmetry with a 498% implied yield on the Yes side versus 40% on the No side, suggesting the 22¢ price significantly undervalues Hyperbeat's launch prospects or reflects genuine skepticism about achieving a $50M FDV within one day. The zero 24-hour volume combined with $10.8M open interest and a wide 3¢ spread indicates illiquidity despite substantial capital at stake, making this a thin market vulnerable to price manipulation. With 260 days to expiry and a recent 2¢ decline over seven days, the market appears to be in early price discovery with moderate cliff risk (4/10), though the neutral regime score suggests no clear directional bias.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Hyperbeats's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Hyperbeat (https://x.com/hyperbeat) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

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Regime

Trade