Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Analysis
AI-generated · updated dailyAt 1¢, this market prices Ivanka Trump's chances at just 1%, reflecting extremely low perceived viability despite her political prominence and family connections. The $533K open interest dwarfs the 1¢ price point, suggesting substantial speculative positioning on either a Trump comeback or contrarian bets, though the $93K daily volume indicates relatively thin liquidity for the bet size. With nearly four years until resolution, the minimal price and zero spread suggest this is treated as a novelty/long-shot market rather than a serious contender in 2028 presidential betting.
Resolution rules
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Regime
Trade
sf trade 0xc586d15be76278848a26c761c2fcf70f8cebca71815cfab83e656ff5c6ec13a9 yes 100