Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

1¢
Bid/Ask 1/1¢·Spread 0¢·Vol $93,100.485·OI $533,239.712·Closes Nov 7, 2028
0xc586d15be76278848a26c761c2fcf70f8cebca71815cfab83e656ff5c6ec13a9

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

At 1¢, this market prices Ivanka Trump's chances at just 1%, reflecting extremely low perceived viability despite her political prominence and family connections. The $533K open interest dwarfs the 1¢ price point, suggesting substantial speculative positioning on either a Trump comeback or contrarian bets, though the $93K daily volume indicates relatively thin liquidity for the bet size. With nearly four years until resolution, the minimal price and zero spread suggest this is treated as a novelty/long-shot market rather than a serious contender in 2028 presidential betting.

Resolution rules

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.341
Spread
0¢
Computed
4/19/2026, 12:54:21 PM
Observability lowEvent type political

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xc586d15be76278848a26c761c2fcf70f8cebca71815cfab83e656ff5c6ec13a9 yes 100

Related concepts