Will Larry Page be 3rd richest person on December 31?

This illiquid market shows extreme mispricing with a 564% annualized yield on the "Yes" side despite only 20¢ pricing, suggesting either severe undervaluation or structural issues with the contract. The 2,919% realized volatility and 12.66 vol ratio indicate wild price swings disconnected from fundamentals, while zero 24-hour volume and $2.36M open interest signal thin liquidity that could amplify slippage on any meaningful trade. With 259 days to expiration and a 27¢-to-20¢ price decline over the past week, the market appears to be repricing downward, though the extreme yield metrics warrant caution about whether this reflects genuine opportunity or a broken market mechanism.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

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