Miami Grand Prix: Top 5 Finishers

79¢
Bid/Ask 72/79¢·Spread 7¢·Vol $0·OI $13.24·Closes May 17, 2026·28d remaining
KXF1TOP5-MIAGP26-LEC
7-day price3 snapshots · 5 regime
72¢71¢Apr 9Apr 10

Analysis

AI-generated · updated daily

This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $13.24 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 79¢ price potentially unreliable despite the wide 7¢ spread. The astronomical implied yield of 3260.5% on the No side suggests severe mispricing—either the market is drastically overestimating Leclerc's top-5 probability or lacks sufficient liquidity to reflect true odds. With 29 days to expiry and a high cliff risk index of 3, this contract carries significant execution risk, and traders should be cautious about relying on pricing signals from such a thin market.

Resolution rules

If Charles Leclerc finishes in the top 5 in the Miami Grand Prix originally scheduled for May 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 500.0%
IY (No) 3306.0%
Adj IY 1492%
CRI 3
Overround 3.7%
LAS 0.10
▶ Full indicator table (6)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)500.0%
IY (No)3306.0%
Adj IY1492%
CRI3
Overround3.7%
LAS0.10

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
7¢
Computed
4/19/2026, 12:39:42 PM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/19/2026, 12:38:15 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXF1TOP5-MIAGP26-LEC yes 100

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