Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $2.62 on Apr 30?

This market shows extreme asymmetry with a 500% implied yield on Yes contracts versus an implausible 11,918% on No, suggesting severe mispricing or illiquidity issues typical of thin markets with only $520 open interest and $96 daily volume. The price has surged dramatically from 5¢ to 83¢ over seven days amid 8,118% realized volatility, indicating either new information about H200 pricing or speculative positioning rather than fundamental conviction. With a 99¢ spread, low liquidity, and a cliff risk index of 5, this market appears fragile and difficult to trade reliably despite the seemingly high probability at 83%.

Resolution rules

If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $2.62 on Apr 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

Regime

Trade